Manchester Utd vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 50% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester Utd 2–0 Manchester City
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
2 – 0
Model Probability
24%
Draw 26%
50%
Model Prediction Through Season
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Games played | 21 |
| 1.7 | Avg goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 38% / 38% / 24% | Win / Draw / Loss | 62% / 19% / 19% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (32 meetings, 5 draws) | 16 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.8 |