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Final Score: Watford 2–0 Derby
Championship
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Watford vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Watford has a 40% chance to win.

11-12-9 · Rating 1605
Form: DLDLD
VS
13-9-10 · Rating 1620
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatDerby
32Games played32
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
34% / 38% / 28%Win / Draw / Loss41% / 28% / 31%
50% Home win % / Away win % 53%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatDerby
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 1 draws)7
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-11-22): Derby 2–3 Watford