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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Arsenal vs Burnley

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 86% chance to win.
Final Score: Arsenal 1–0 Burnley
Mon, May 18, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Championship
Arsenal
24-7-5Rating 2091
Form: WWWLL
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1 – 0
Model Probability
86%
Draw 9%
5%
Championship
Burnley
4-9-23Rating 1656
Form: DLLLL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatBurnley
36Games played36
1.9Avg goals scored1.0
0.7Avg goals conceded2.0
67% / 19% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 25% / 64%
78% Home win % / Away win % 11%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
ArsenalStatBurnley
14All-time wins (18 meetings, 3 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2025-11-01): Burnley 0–2 Arsenal

Recent Results

Arsenal

@ West Ham
Sun, May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Fulham
Sat, May 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
vs Newcastle
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Manchester City
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Bournemouth
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2

Burnley

vs Aston Villa
Sun, May 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Leeds
Fri, May 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Manchester City
Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Nottingham
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Brighton
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2