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Manchester Utd vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester Utd 0–1 Manchester City
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST
Championship
Manchester Utd
1-1-1Rating 1892
Form: DWLWW
0 – 1
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Championship
Manchester City
3-0-0Rating 2031
Form: WWWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatManchester City
3Games played3
2.3Avg goals scored2.3
2.0Avg goals conceded0.7
33% / 33% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatManchester City
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)16
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Manchester Utd 2–0 Manchester City