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Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 39% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
2-4-2 · Rating 1656
Form: WLDDW
Model Probability
39%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.7%27.8%7.3%
If Win 1.1%3.9%37.0%3.7%
If Draw <1%2.6%26.4%7.6%
If Lose <1%1.6%21.9%10.9%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.7%31.8%
If Win <1%<1%9.8%23.4%
If Draw <1%<1%5.7%31.6%
If Lose <1%<1%4.5%37.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWrexham
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
1.8Avg goals conceded1.5
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 50% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatWrexham
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-01-04): Derby 1–2 Wrexham