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Championship
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM BST

Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 60% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1629
Form: DDWLL
Model Probability
60%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%14.8%16.9%
If Win <1%1.7%23.6%9.1%
If Draw <1%<1%16.3%15.8%
If Lose <1%<1%12.7%19.3%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.3%27.3%53.3%<1%
If Win 14.7%34.1%52.3%<1%
If Draw 9.4%24.5%54.2%<1%
If Lose 5.9%17.4%54.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatPortsmouth
8Games played7
2.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatPortsmouth
0All-time wins (4 meetings, 4 draws)0
0Last 4 meetings (4 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton