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Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 43% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatArsenal
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatArsenal
17All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-19): Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal