Championship
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Swansea has a 48% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.6% | 28.9% | 6.4% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 3.7% | 36.4% | 3.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.6% | 30.6% | 5.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.0% | 24.4% | 6.8% |
Swansea
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4.3% | 12.3% | 50.1% | 1.4% |
| If Win | 4.3% | 13.4% | 54.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.2% | 10.7% | 50.0% | 1.1% |
| If Lose | 3.0% | 9.3% | 45.8% | 1.6% |
| Swansea | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 62% / 25% / 12% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Swansea | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 8 draws) | 4 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.3 |