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Wed, Feb 17, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 55% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%19.6%11.3%
If Win <1%1.8%25.0%7.3%
If Draw <1%<1%19.7%10.8%
If Lose <1%<1%15.7%13.0%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.0%11.6%49.7%1.0%
If Win 4.7%13.1%53.8%<1%
If Draw 3.0%9.7%49.6%1.5%
If Lose 2.3%7.6%45.0%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatStoke
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatStoke
8All-time wins (18 meetings, 6 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-01-21): Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough