Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-17 | 3–2 | Lens +1 | Lens 61% | |
| 2026-01-02 | 0–3 | Lens +3 | Lens 38% | |
| 2025-05-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Toulouse 41% | |
| 2025-01-05 | 0–1 | Toulouse +1 | Lens 50% | |
| 2024-01-28 | 0–2 | Lens +2 | Lens 37% | |
| 2023-09-24 | 2–1 | Lens +1 | Lens 46% | |
| 2023-05-02 | 0–1 | Lens +1 | Lens 43% | |
| 2022-10-28 | 3–0 | Lens +3 | Lens 57% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 1–0 | Lens +1 | Lens 41% | |
| 2014-10-24 | 0–2 | Lens +2 | Toulouse 54% | |
| 2011-03-12 | 0–1 | Toulouse +1 | Lens 41% | |
| 2010-10-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Toulouse 51% | |
| 2010-02-27 | 1–0 | Toulouse +1 | Toulouse 46% |