Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-07 | 0–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 39% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Marseille 63% | |
| 2025-04-06 | 3–2 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 56% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 1–3 | Marseille +2 | Marseille 37% | |
| 2024-04-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Marseille 37% | |
| 2023-09-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Marseille 57% | |
| 2023-02-19 | 2–3 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 45% | |
| 2022-12-29 | 6–1 | Marseille +5 | Marseille 64% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 1–0 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 72% | |
| 2019-11-24 | 0–2 | Marseille +2 | Marseille 37% | |
| 2019-05-18 | 2–5 | Marseille +3 | Toulouse 37% | |
| 2018-08-10 | 4–0 | Marseille +4 | Marseille 59% | |
| 2018-03-11 | 1–2 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 48% | |
| 2017-09-24 | 2–0 | Marseille +2 | Marseille 53% | |
| 2017-04-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Toulouse 38% | |
| 2016-08-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Marseille 48% | |
| 2016-03-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Marseille 63% | |
| 2015-09-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Marseille 40% | |
| 2015-03-06 | 1–6 | Marseille +5 | Marseille 44% | |
| 2014-10-19 | 2–0 | Marseille +2 | Marseille 54% | |
| 2014-02-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Marseille 48% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Toulouse 38% | |
| 2013-05-11 | 2–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 48% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 0–1 | Marseille +1 | Toulouse 49% | |
| 2012-03-03 | 0–1 | Toulouse +1 | Marseille 62% | |
| 2011-10-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Marseille 40% | |
| 2011-04-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Marseille 68% | |
| 2010-11-20 | 0–1 | Marseille +1 | Marseille 44% | |
| 2010-03-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Toulouse 39% |