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← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Rennes vs Marseille
Final Score: Rennes 1–0 Marseille
Ligue 1
Fri, Aug 15, 2025 · 7:45 PM BST

Rennes vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 37% chance to win.

Rennes
Rating 1801
Form: LWLLW
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VS
Marseille
Rating 1764
Form: WWDWW
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Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
RennesStatMarseille
8All-time wins (31 meetings, 8 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-05-17): Marseille 4–2 Rennes

Recent Results

Rennes

@ Marseille
Sat, May 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2–4
vs Nice
Sat, May 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Toulouse
Sat, May 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Lyon
Sat, Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Nantes
Fri, Apr 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Marseille

vs Rennes
Sat, May 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4–2
@ Le Havre
Sat, May 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Lille
Sun, May 4, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Brest
Sun, Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Montpellier
Sat, Apr 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5–1

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SharpModels provides team ratings and benchmark matchup probabilities across major US sports and soccer's top European leagues. Our rating systems are designed to measure underlying team strength and generate consistent win probability estimates across seasons and matchups.

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