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Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 45% chance to win.
Final Score: Toulouse 2–1 Lyon
Sun, May 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Toulouse
11-8-13Rating 1756
Form: WDLLL
2 – 1
Model Probability
28%
Draw 27%
45%
Ligue 1
Lyon
18-6-8Rating 1811
Form: WWWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatLyon
32Games played32
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded1.1
34% / 25% / 41%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 19% / 25%
31% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatLyon
5All-time wins (28 meetings, 6 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2025-10-05): Lyon 1–2 Toulouse