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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Troyes vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 49% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
Model Probability
25%
49%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.1%17.1%10.6%2.1%<1%
If Win 3.5%23.6%12.4%1.2%<1%
If Draw 1.6%14.0%9.5%2.4%<1%
If Lose 1.2%11.7%7.4%3.7%1.0%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.7%19.9%
If Win <1%1.2%<1%22.8%10.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.0%19.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.7%24.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLens
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.8
2.2Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLens
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.6Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2023-01-28): Troyes 1–1 Lens