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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

PSG vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 65% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
65%
15%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.9%37.8%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 16.7%54.7%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.2%42.8%14.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.0%32.1%14.5%<1%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 62.2%90.7%4.5%<1%<1%
If Win 66.2%93.5%2.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 55.7%88.1%5.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 45.0%82.8%7.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLyon
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
1.4Avg goals conceded0.4
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLyon
20All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)8
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-19): PSG 1–2 Lyon