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Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 38% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Jan 24, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3-1-5Rating 1774
Form: WLLLL
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-2Rating 1820
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%40.0%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.8%48.2%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%38.5%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%32.2%12.9%<1%<1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%6.1%4.9%5.3%<1%
If Win <1%8.4%6.4%3.2%<1%
If Draw <1%4.5%4.4%5.2%<1%
If Lose <1%2.6%3.1%8.0%1.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatLyon
9Games played9
1.9Avg goals scored1.7
2.1Avg goals conceded0.8
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 22% / 22%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatLyon
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 3 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.6Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon