Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-25 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 43% | |
| 2025-11-02 | 1–0 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 46% | |
| 2025-05-18 | 3–1 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 43% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 54% | |
| 2024-01-14 | 3–1 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 54% | |
| 2023-09-01 | 1–2 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 37% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 37% | |
| 2023-01-08 | 2–2 | Draw | AC Milan 58% | |
| 2022-01-06 | 3–1 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 52% | |
| 2021-10-31 | 1–2 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 36% | |
| 2021-02-28 | 1–2 | AC Milan +1 | AS Roma 46% | |
| 2020-10-26 | 3–3 | Draw | AC Milan 52% | |
| 2020-06-28 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 39% | |
| 2019-10-27 | 2–1 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 49% | |
| 2019-02-03 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 50% | |
| 2018-08-31 | 2–1 | AC Milan +1 | AS Roma 42% | |
| 2018-02-25 | 0–2 | AC Milan +2 | AS Roma 58% | |
| 2017-10-01 | 0–2 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 41% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 1–4 | AS Roma +3 | AS Roma 42% | |
| 2016-12-12 | 1–0 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 52% | |
| 2016-05-14 | 1–3 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 40% | |
| 2016-01-09 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 50% | |
| 2015-05-09 | 2–1 | AC Milan +1 | AS Roma 37% | |
| 2014-12-20 | 0–0 | Draw | AS Roma 53% | |
| 2014-04-25 | 2–0 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 59% | |
| 2013-12-16 | 2–2 | Draw | AC Milan 39% | |
| 2013-05-12 | 0–0 | Draw | AC Milan 59% | |
| 2012-12-22 | 4–2 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 37% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 2–1 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 64% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 2–3 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 42% | |
| 2011-05-07 | 0–0 | Draw | AC Milan 41% | |
| 2010-12-18 | 0–1 | AS Roma +1 | AC Milan 50% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 0–0 | Draw | AS Roma 44% |