Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-24 | 4–0 | AS Roma +4 | AS Roma 59% | |
| 2026-05-04 | 4–0 | AS Roma +4 | AS Roma 61% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 1–2 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 38% | |
| 2025-05-04 | 1–0 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 52% | |
| 2024-10-27 | 5–1 | Fiorentina +4 | Fiorentina 44% | |
| 2024-03-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2023-12-10 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 46% | |
| 2023-05-27 | 2–1 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 38% | |
| 2023-01-15 | 2–0 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 53% | |
| 2022-05-09 | 2–0 | Fiorentina +2 | AS Roma 39% | |
| 2021-08-22 | 3–1 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 54% | |
| 2021-03-03 | 1–2 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 44% | |
| 2020-11-01 | 2–0 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 53% | |
| 2020-07-26 | 2–1 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 53% | |
| 2019-12-20 | 1–4 | AS Roma +3 | AS Roma 43% | |
| 2019-04-03 | 2–2 | Draw | AS Roma 49% | |
| 2018-11-03 | 1–1 | Draw | AS Roma 40% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 0–2 | Fiorentina +2 | AS Roma 61% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 2–4 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 51% | |
| 2017-02-07 | 4–0 | AS Roma +4 | AS Roma 54% | |
| 2016-09-18 | 1–0 | Fiorentina +1 | Fiorentina 37% | |
| 2016-03-04 | 4–1 | AS Roma +3 | AS Roma 45% | |
| 2015-10-25 | 1–2 | AS Roma +1 | Fiorentina 45% | |
| 2015-01-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 38% | |
| 2014-08-30 | 2–0 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 52% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 0–1 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 38% | |
| 2013-12-08 | 2–1 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 46% | |
| 2013-05-04 | 0–1 | AS Roma +1 | Fiorentina 48% | |
| 2012-12-08 | 4–2 | AS Roma +2 | AS Roma 44% | |
| 2012-04-25 | 1–2 | Fiorentina +1 | AS Roma 51% | |
| 2011-12-04 | 3–0 | Fiorentina +3 | Fiorentina 43% | |
| 2011-03-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Fiorentina 40% | |
| 2010-11-10 | 3–2 | AS Roma +1 | AS Roma 52% | |
| 2010-02-07 | 0–1 | AS Roma +1 | Fiorentina 40% |