Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-14 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 0–3 | Frosinone +3 | Fiorentina 50% | |
| 2024-02-11 | 5–1 | Fiorentina +4 | Fiorentina 57% | |
| 2023-09-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 39% | |
| 2019-04-07 | 0–1 | Frosinone +1 | Fiorentina 68% | |
| 2018-11-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Fiorentina 48% | |
| 2016-03-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Fiorentina 53% | |
| 2015-11-01 | 4–1 | Fiorentina +3 | Fiorentina 66% |