Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Lazio 37% | |
| 2026-03-15 | 1–0 | Lazio +1 | AC Milan 45% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 1–0 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 54% | |
| 2025-03-02 | 1–2 | Lazio +1 | AC Milan 44% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 2–2 | Draw | Lazio 42% | |
| 2024-03-01 | 0–1 | AC Milan +1 | Lazio 38% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 52% | |
| 2023-05-06 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 49% | |
| 2023-01-24 | 4–0 | Lazio +4 | AC Milan 39% | |
| 2022-04-24 | 1–2 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 37% | |
| 2021-09-12 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 51% | |
| 2021-04-26 | 3–0 | Lazio +3 | Lazio 42% | |
| 2020-12-23 | 3–2 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 56% | |
| 2020-07-04 | 0–3 | AC Milan +3 | Lazio 53% | |
| 2019-11-03 | 1–2 | Lazio +1 | AC Milan 40% | |
| 2019-04-13 | 1–0 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 47% | |
| 2018-11-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Lazio 47% | |
| 2018-01-28 | 2–1 | AC Milan +1 | Lazio 43% | |
| 2017-09-10 | 4–1 | Lazio +3 | Lazio 44% | |
| 2017-02-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Lazio 48% | |
| 2016-09-20 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 43% | |
| 2016-03-20 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 50% | |
| 2015-11-01 | 1–3 | AC Milan +2 | Lazio 53% | |
| 2015-01-24 | 3–1 | Lazio +2 | Lazio 45% | |
| 2014-08-31 | 3–1 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 51% | |
| 2014-03-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Lazio 41% | |
| 2013-10-30 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 55% | |
| 2013-03-02 | 3–0 | AC Milan +3 | AC Milan 55% | |
| 2012-10-20 | 3–2 | Lazio +1 | Lazio 37% | |
| 2012-02-01 | 2–0 | Lazio +2 | AC Milan 43% | |
| 2011-09-09 | 2–2 | Draw | AC Milan 61% | |
| 2011-02-01 | 0–0 | Draw | AC Milan 57% | |
| 2010-09-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Lazio 36% | |
| 2010-03-28 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 49% |