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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta
Fri, May 22, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST
Serie A
Fiorentina
9-14-14Rating 1736
Form: WDLDD
1 – 1
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Serie A
Atalanta
15-13-9Rating 1772
Form: LWDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FiorentinaStatAtalanta
37Games played37
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded0.9
24% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss41% / 35% / 24%
22% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FiorentinaStatAtalanta
14All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2025-11-30): Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina