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Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Monza has a 38% chance to win.
Serie A
Mon, Nov 23, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
Monza
2-1-8Rating 1691
Form: LLLLW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Serie A
Fiorentina
2-3-6Rating 1736
Form: DWDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%16.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%8.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%16.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.1%

Monza

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%44.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%33.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%47.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%55.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonzaStatFiorentina
11Games played11
1.5Avg goals scored1.5
2.3Avg goals conceded2.3
18% / 9% / 73%Win / Draw / Loss18% / 27% / 55%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonzaStatFiorentina
2All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-01-13): Monza 2–1 Fiorentina