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Serie A
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 44% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.8%43.9%11.7%<1%
If Win 10.1%56.4%11.2%<1%
If Draw 5.5%44.8%11.1%<1%
If Lose 3.8%36.8%12.4%<1%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.9%30.4%11.4%<1%
If Win 3.7%34.7%11.1%<1%
If Draw 2.1%26.6%12.0%<1%
If Lose 1.1%21.2%10.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatAC Milan
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatAC Milan
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Napoli 1–0 AC Milan