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Serie A
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 58% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.0%1.9%19.8%
If Win <1%2.6%3.1%12.4%
If Draw <1%2.1%1.9%17.8%
If Lose <1%1.1%1.0%22.8%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.9%44.5%12.1%<1%
If Win 7.3%48.9%12.9%<1%
If Draw 4.6%40.6%11.6%<1%
If Lose 3.3%32.0%11.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatFiorentina
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded2.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatFiorentina
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-11): Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan