← Home / Italy / Serie A / Matches / Napoli vs Fiorentina
Serie A
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 58% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.9%2.0%19.8%
If Win <1%3.6%2.8%12.9%
If Draw <1%1.9%1.4%17.5%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.1%21.7%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.6%29.4%11.3%<1%
If Win 3.3%34.0%12.2%<1%
If Draw 1.8%25.9%10.5%1.0%
If Lose 1.6%21.6%10.8%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatFiorentina
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatFiorentina
17All-time wins (34 meetings, 11 draws)6
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli