Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Orioles 5
Tuesday, May 16, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
22-14 Rating 1567
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Orioles
18-21 Rating 1469
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 295 245
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 11 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 36 39
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 6.0
Win percentage 61% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 54%