Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 4
Wednesday, May 17, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
23-14 Rating 1569
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Orioles
18-22 Rating 1467
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 296 245
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 37 40
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 6.0
Win percentage 62% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 52%