Final Score: Phillies 2 - Marlins 3
Sunday, October 1, 2006 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-76 Rating 1534
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
77-84 Rating 1500
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 115 97
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.3 4.7
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 51%