Final Score: Cardinals 6 - Pirates 5
Sunday, September 30, 2007 at 1:35 PM ET

Cardinals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
77-84 Rating 1498
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
Pirates
68-93 Rating 1438
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Pirates
All-time wins 335 302
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Pirates
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.2
Win percentage 48% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 46%