Final Score: Pirates 8 - Cubs 13
Friday, September 21, 2007 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-87 Rating 1444
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
80-73 Rating 1491
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 351 285
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 10 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.3
Win percentage 43% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 53%