Final Score: Pirates 5 - Cubs 9
Saturday, September 22, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-88 Rating 1442
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
81-73 Rating 1492
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 351 286
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 8 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.3
Win percentage 43% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 53%