Final Score: Astros 6 - Cubs 5
Sunday, May 17, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
16-20 Rating 1498
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
21-14 Rating 1532
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 278 242
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 36 35
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 44% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 67%