Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 7
Wednesday, September 23, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
88-62 Rating 1559
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
81-71 Rating 1509
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 140 123
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.3 4.7
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 150 152
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 59% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 53%