Final Score: Mets 6 - Marlins 5
Friday, September 25, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
65-88 Rating 1469
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.7
Marlins
82-71 Rating 1512
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 137 125
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.1
Last meeting 4 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 42% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 54%