Final Score: Cubs 4 - Reds 7
Monday, May 16, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
17-21 Rating 1479
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
23-17 Rating 1508
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 259 286
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 38 40
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 45% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 59%