Final Score: Cubs 5 - Reds 7
Tuesday, May 17, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
17-22 Rating 1477
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
24-17 Rating 1510
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 259 287
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 39 41
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 44% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 61%