Final Score: Cubs 7 - Marlins 5
Wednesday, May 18, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
17-23 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.6
Marlins
24-16 Rating 1510
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Marlins
All-time wins 76 78
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 13 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Marlins
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.9
Win percentage 42% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 57%