Final Score: Marlins 4 - Nationals 8
Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
23-15 Rating 1510
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Nationals
18-21 Rating 1440
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 163 125
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 38 39
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 61% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 50%