Final Score: Pirates 2 - Nationals 4
Monday, May 16, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
18-22 Rating 1410
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.6
Nationals
19-21 Rating 1442
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 299 272
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 45% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%