Final Score: Marlins 1 - Nationals 0
Saturday, May 14, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
22-15 Rating 1508
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Nationals
18-20 Rating 1442
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 162 125
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 37 38
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.2
Win percentage 59% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 53%