Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 5
Sunday, July 24, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
33-67 Rating 1427
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
41-60 Rating 1458
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 298 259
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 100 101
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 33% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 44%