Final Score: Astros 5 - Cardinals 3
Thursday, July 28, 2011 at 8:15 PM ET

Astros @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
34-70 Rating 1425
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +1.1
Cardinals
55-49 Rating 1508
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cardinals
All-time wins 275 293
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cardinals
Games played 104 104
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.3
Win percentage 33% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 55%