Final Score: Pirates 5 - Phillies 6
Sunday, July 31, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
54-51 Rating 1443
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
67-39 Rating 1576
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 294 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 105 106
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.3
Win percentage 51% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 69%