Final Score: Pirates 4 - Phillies 7
Saturday, July 30, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
54-50 Rating 1444
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
66-39 Rating 1575
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 294 276
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.3
Win percentage 52% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 68%