Final Score: Mets 7 - Marlins 4
Tuesday, September 6, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
68-71 Rating 1485
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
63-77 Rating 1473
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 152 147
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 139 140
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.5
Win percentage 49% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 40%