Final Score: Marlins 5 - Astros 3
Wednesday, May 9, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
15-15 Rating 1475
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Astros
14-16 Rating 1431
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Astros
All-time wins 74 79
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Astros
Games played 30 30
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.1
Win percentage 50% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 59%