Final Score: Astros 1 - Pirates 0
Friday, May 11, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
14-17 Rating 1429
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
14-17 Rating 1434
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 292 265
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 4.5 2.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 45% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 53%