Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Nationals 3
Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 4:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
90-70 Rating 1533
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Nationals
65-95 Rating 1461
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 21 13
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.6 4.6
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.0
Win percentage 56% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 44%