Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Nationals 5
Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 3:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
91-70 Rating 1535
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Nationals
65-96 Rating 1459
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 22 13
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.6 4.6
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.0
Win percentage 57% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 44%