Final Score: Padres 8 - Nationals 6
Thursday, May 25, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET

Padres @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
22-27 Rating 1502
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Nationals
21-28 Rating 1423
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Nationals
All-time wins 238 265
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Nationals
Games played 49 49
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 45% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 41%